Final 2016-17 Bowl Projections

College Football Playoff

Fiesta Bowl (2) Ohio State vs. (3) Clemson

Peach Bowl (1) Alabama vs. (4) Washington

Selection Committee Bowl Games

Orange Bowl Florida State (ACC) vs. Michigan (At-Large)

Rose Bowl Penn State (Big Ten) vs. USC (Pac-12)

Sugar Bowl Oklahoma (Big 12) vs. Auburn (SEC)

Cotton Bowl Western Michigan (Group of 5) vs. Wisconsin (At-Large)

Rest of Bowl Games

New Mexico New Mexico (MWC) vs. UTSA (C-USA)

Las Vegas San Diego State (MWC #1) vs. Houston (American) 

Camellia Central Michigan (MAC) vs. Arkansas State (Sun Belt #3)

Cure Appalachian State  (Sun Belt) vs. UCF (American)

New Orleans Louisiana-Lafayette (Sun Belt #1) vs. Southern Miss (C-USA)

Miami Beach Tulsa (American) vs. Ohio (MAC)

Boca Raton Memphis (American) vs. Western Kentucky (C-USA)

Poinsettia BYU (Independent) vs. Wyoming (MWC)

Idaho Potato Idaho (Sun Belt) vs. Colorado State (MWC)

Bahamas Old Dominion (C-USA) vs. Eastern Michigan (MAC)

Armed Forces Navy (American) vs. Louisiana Tech (C-USA)

Dollar General Troy (Sun Belt #2) vs. Toledo (MAC #1)

Hawaii Middle Tennessee State (C-USA) vs. Hawaii (MWC)

St. Petersburg Mississippi State (SEC) vs. Miami [OH] (MAC) 

Quick Lane Boston College (ACC) vs. Maryland (Big Ten)

Independence Wake Forest (ACC) vs. Vanderbilt (SEC)

Heart of Dallas North Texas (C-USA) vs. Army (Independent)

Military Temple (American) vs. N.C. State (ACC)

Holiday Iowa (Big Ten) vs. Washington State (Pac-12 #3)

Cactus Baylor (Big 12 #6) vs. Boise State (MWC)

Pinstripe North Carolina (ACC) vs. Northwestern (Big Ten)

Russell Athletic Miami [FL] (ACC #2) vs. West Virginia (Big 12 #3)

Foster Farms Indiana (Big Ten) vs. Utah (Pac-12 #4)

Texas Kansas State (Big 12 #4).vs. Texas A&M (SEC)

Birmingham South Carolina (SEC) vs. USF (American)

Belk Virginia Tech (ACC) vs. Arkansas (SEC)

Alamo Oklahoma State (Big 12 #2) vs. Colorado (Pac-12 #2)

Liberty TCU (Big 12 #5) vs. Georgia (SEC)

Sun Pittsburgh (ACC) vs. Stanford (Pac-12 #5)

Music City Minnesota (Big Ten) vs. Tennessee (SEC)

Arizona Air Force (MWC) vs. South Alabama (Sun Belt) 

Citrus Louisville (ACC) vs. LSU (SEC)

TaxSlayer Georgia Tech (ACC) vs. Kentucky (SEC)

Outback Nebraska (Big Ten) vs. Florida (SEC)

*italics = replacements

*blue = already announced

**San Diego State correct

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Landscape of the Coaching Carousel

With today being the end of the regular season for college football, I’ve decided to blog about some of my thoughts on what the upcoming coaching carousel will look like. In short, I believe we will have fewer openings in comparison to years’ past, and that Texas & LSU will be the two biggest jobs to have opened up– and both have reached a conclusion, with LSU making Ed O the permanent H.C. and Texas nabbing Tom Herman from Houston. 

Currently Open Jobs

Baylor, the job that has been open the longest, is a really tough one to predict. Tons of media reports are pegging SMU’s Chad Morris for the job, but I don’t buy it. First off, I’d much rather live in Highland Park then in Waco, and I’m sure he feels the same way. Secondly, I think he’s waiting for Texas A&M to eventually open up (his alma mater), as Kevin Sumlin’s days are likely numbered. To conclude, I just don’t see him leaving what he has at SMU for a tough rebuilding job in Waco. The next logical candidate would be Larry Fedora, which might just happen. I do think Fedora wants to return to a job in the states of Texas or Oklahoma, but Baylor might not be his first choice. He’s got a great gig at UNC going for him, and he’s done quite well there (exception: N.C. State). He might pass and wait to see if Oklahoma State opens up in a couple years, as there’s visible friction between Mike Gundy and the school’s boosters. Philip Montgomery is another viable option, as the former Briles assistant has done phenomenally at Tulsa. But I have a good feeling that Mack Rhoades (the school’s new A.D.) will want to pick someone with no ties to Art Briles given how tenuous the situation is there. And there’s a fair chance Coach Monty wouldn’t even want the job, given how the school has scapegoated his old mentor through the past year. There’s a chance they give Jim Grobe another year or two to clean up the mess if those three coaches pass. Or they could go for a “hotshot” assistant such as Lincoln Riley or Doug Meacham.. I really don’t know.

I think I have a clearer idea about what Houston, which just opened up this morning after Tom Herman departed for Texas, plans to do. They’ve hired a search firm, which makes me think they’ll go after a bigger name coach. Sure, Major Applewhite and Todd Orlando are viable internal candidates to get the full-time gig. But I have a feeling they’ll look elsewhere. Houston remains committed to building a big football program that will eventually compete in the Big 12. They were willing to give Herman a $5mil/yr salary, and I predict they’ll be willing to throw that kind of money at other coaches. Dana Holgorsen, a former UH assistant, is a real candidate for this job. He seems somewhat disgruntled at West Virginia, as he started off this year firmly on the Hot Seat with the shaky support of AD Shane Lyons. Houston would be really wise to gauge his interest. Sonny Dykes is in a similar position, with Cal being an obviously awkward fit for him. If Houston throws a lot of money his way, I’d imagine he would at least listen. Mike Leach is another big-name coach who might have some interest in returning to Texas, especially if he thinks he can get Houston into the Big 12. They might also ponder an Art Briles return, but I think he’s more likely to rebuild his career in the NFL than at the college level. Other names to watch include Lincoln Riley, Doug Meacham, and Sterlin Gilbert if they go the coordinator route.

Purdue seems to be close to finishing their coaching search, yet just about no one has much of a clue who their main target is. There are reports that it’s WMU’s P.J. Fleck, but I don’t buy it. Fleck has something special going on with the undefeated WMU Broncos, and I don’t think he’ll begin looking for a bigger job until after the MAC title game. It might be Kevin Sumlin, if Texas A&M is willing to make some sort of deal with Purdue officials to reduce his buyout number. But I don’t think he’s their guy either. It could be Les Miles, who it seems has been advocating for the job for the last few months. It also could be Brock Spack, who interviewed with officials last week. It’ll be interesting to watch this one play out. They might have a ‘secret guy’ that no one knows about right now.

Georgia State is in the early stages of their coaching search. Jeff Scott is my current prediction, as he has done a spectacular job at Clemson and he’s got strong ties to the southeast recruiting region needed to succeed there. Jamey Chadwell, Will Hall, Bobby Lamb, Shawn Elliott, and Bryan McClendon have also been buzzed about for this opening, among others. Point blank, it’s really early to begin speculating on this one. They’re using a search firm, so I expect it to be a relatively quiet search. But as always, I’ll keep y’all posted on this one. 

State of the Fringe Jobs

Here’s my current and final Hot Seat Radar for the year… 

(1) Tommy Tuberville, Cincinnati (+1)

(2) David Bailiff, Rice (+1)

(3) Paul Haynes, Kent State (+1)

(4) Sean Kugler, UTEP (+11)

(5) Ron Caragher, San Jose State (NEW)

(6) Mark Helfrich, Oregon (+3)

(7) Doug Martin, New Mexico State (-)

(8) Charlie Partridge, FAU (-2)

(9) Brian Polian, Nevada (NEW)

(10) Mark Hudspeth, Louisiana-Lafayette (NEW)

(11) Lance Leipold, Buffalo (-1)

(12) Rich Rodriguez, Arizona (-7)

(13) Kliff Kingsbury, Texas Tech (-2)

(14) Steve Addazio, Boston College (-6)

(15) Kevin Sumlin, Texas A&M (-3)

 

 

I believe that the first three jobs are near-locks to open up. Tommy Tuberville is despised by his fan base, while David Bailiff and Paul Haynes have repeatedly disappointed and have gotten enough time to turn things around. I’ll be very surprised if all three aren’t fired this weekend. 

I believe the next four jobs are about 50/50 to open up, with Ron Caragher at SJSU being the most likely to be canned. I’ve got no idea what Oregon is planning, to be honest. Rob Mullens has been keeping things to himself, and I’d expect his final decision to come after today’s Oregon State game. Even though I don’t agree with the call, I’m leaning that NMSU retains Doug Martin simply because it’s very hard to win there. And I think Partridge is probably more likely to stay than go, because he’s only been there for a short time. In short, I could see all four opening up, but I can also see all four getting another year to turn things around. 

I think Brian Polian and Mark Hudpseth are safe for another year, but you never know. About 75% sure that both return to their jobs next season, unless they depart for another job this offseason, most likely in the form of an NFL or Power 5 assistant job. 

I’d be somewhat surprised if Lance Leipold or Rich Rodriguez are fired this weekend, but stranger things have happened. Both definitely deserve to start next year on the hot seat if they return as head coaches. 

Kliff Kingsbury, Steve Addazio, and Kevin Sumlin are near-locks to return as head coaches for various reasons, but each should start next year firmly on the hot seat. 

 

Bowl Projections (Round Two)

**updated on November 25, 2016**

PEACH BOWL (1) Alabama vs. (4) Washington

FIESTA BOWL (2) Clemson vs. (3) Ohio State

ROSE BOWL Wisconsin (Big Ten) vs. USC (Pac-12)

SUGAR BOWL Oklahoma (Big 12) vs. Tennessee (SEC)

ORANGE BOWL Louisville (ACC) vs. Michigan (At-Large)

COTTON BOWL Western Michigan (Group of 5) vs. Penn State (At-Large)

New Mexico: UTSA (C-USA) vs. New Mexico (MWC)

Las Vegas: San Diego State (MWC #1) vs. Arizona State (Pac-12 #6)

Camellia: Central Michigan (MAC #3) vs. Appalachian State (Sun Belt #3)

Cure: Tulsa (American) vs. South Alabama (Sun Belt)

New Orleans: Arkansas State (Sun Belt #1) vs. Louisiana Tech (C-USA)

Miami Beach: UCF (American) vs. Ohio (MAC)

Boca Raton: Western Kentucky (C-USA) vs. Memphis (American)

Poinsettia: BYU (Ind.) vs. Wyoming (MWC)

Idaho Potato: Miami OH (MAC #2) vs. Colorado State (MWC)

Bahamas: Old Dominion (C-USA) vs. N.C. State (ACC)**

Armed Forces: Navy (American) vs. Baylor (Big 12)**

Dollar General: Toledo (MAC #1) vs. Troy (Sun Belt #2)

Hawaii: MTSU (C-USA) vs. Hawaii (MWC)

St. Petersburg: South Florida (American) vs. Vanderbilt (SEC)**

Quick Lane: Boston College (ACC)** vs. Maryland (Big Ten)

Independence: South Carolina (SEC) vs. Georgia Tech (ACC)

Heart of Dallas: Eastern Michigan (MAC)** vs. North Texas (C-USA)

Military: Army (ACC)* vs. Temple (American)

Holiday: Minnesota (Big Ten) vs. Washington State (Pac-12 #3)

Cactus: Texas (Big 12 #6) vs. Boise State (MWC)**

Pinstripe: Pittsburgh (ACC) vs. Northwestern (Big Ten)

Russell Athletic: Virginia Tech (ACC #2) vs. West Virginia (Big 12 #3)

Foster Farms: Indiana (Big Ten) vs. Stanford (Pac-12 #4)

Texas: Kansas State (Big 12 #4) vs. Texas A&M (SEC)

Birmingham: Houston (American) vs. Ole Miss (SEC)

Belk: North Carolina (ACC) vs. Arkansas (SEC)

Alamo: Oklahoma State (Big 12 #2) vs. Colorado (Pac-12 #2)

Liberty: TCU (Big 12 #5) vs. Kentucky (SEC)

Sun: Wake Forest (ACC) vs. Utah (Pac-12 #5)

Music City: Iowa (Big Ten) vs. Georgia (SEC)

Arizona: Air Force (MWC) vs. Idaho (Sun Belt)

Citrus: Florida State (ACC) vs. Auburn (SEC)

TaxSlayer: Miami FL (ACC) vs. LSU (SEC)

Outback: Nebraska (Big Ten) vs. Florida (SEC)

 

Bowl Projections (Round One)

PEACH BOWL (1) Alabama vs. (4) Washington

FIESTA BOWL (2) Ohio State vs. (3) Clemson

ROSE BOWL Wisconsin (Big Ten) vs. Utah (Pac-12)

SUGAR BOWL Oklahoma (Big-12) vs. LSU (SEC)

ORANGE BOWL Louisville (ACC) vs. Michigan (At-Large)

COTTON BOWL Penn State (At-Large) vs. Western Michigan (At-Large)

OUTBACK Nebraska (Big Ten) vs. Auburn (SEC #3-8)

TAXSLAYER Virginia Tech (ACC) vs. Florida (SEC #3-8)

CITRUS North Carolina (ACC) vs. Tennessee (SEC #3-8)

ARIZONA Idaho (Sun Belt) vs. Colorado State (MWC)

MUSIC CITY Iowa (Big Ten #5-7) vs. Arkansas (SEC #3-8)

SUN Wake Forest (ACC) vs. Stanford (Pac-12 #5)

LIBERTY TCU (Big 12 #5) vs. Georgia (SEC #3-8)

ALAMO West Virginia (Big 12 #2) vs. Colorado (Pac-12 #2)

BELK Miami (ACC) vs. South Carolina (SEC)

BIRMINGHAM Kentucky (SEC #9) vs. Texas Tech***

TEXAS Baylor (Big 12 #4) vs. Texas A&M (SEC #3-8)

FOSTER FARMS Indiana (Big Ten) vs. Washington State (Pac-12 #4)

RUSSELL ATHLETIC Florida State (ACC #2) vs. Oklahoma State (Big 12 #3)

PINSTRIPE Pittsburgh (ACC) vs. Northwestern (Big Ten)

CACTUS Texas (Big 12 #6) vs. Air Force***

HOLIDAY Minnesota (Big Ten) vs. USC (Pac-12 #3)

MILITARY Georgia Tech (ACC) vs. Houston (American)

HEART OF DALLAS Louisiana-Lafayette*** vs. Western Kentucky (C-USA)

INDEPENDENCE Ole Miss (SEC #9) vs. N.C. State***

QUICK LANE Maryland (Big Ten) vs. Army***

ST. PETERSBURG South Florida (American) vs. Mississippi State***

HAWAII Southern Miss (C-USA) vs. Hawaii***

DOLLAR GENERAL Toledo (MAC #1) vs. Appalachian State (Sun Belt #2)

ARMED FORCES Kansas State (Big 12 #7) vs. Navy (American)

BAHAMAS Miami OH (MAC) vs. Tulsa (American)

IDAHO POTATO Ohio (MAC #2) vs. Wyoming (MWC)

POINSETTIA San Diego State (MWC) vs. BYU (Independent)

BOCA RATON Old Dominion (C-USA) vs. Memphis (American)

MIAMI BEACH Central Michigan (MAC) vs. Temple (American)

NEW ORLEANS Troy (Sun Belt #1) vs. Louisiana Tech (C-USA)

CURE South Alabama (Sun Belt) vs. Central Florida (American)

CAMELLIA Arkansas State (Sun Belt #3) vs. Eastern Michigan (MAC #3)

LAS VEGAS Boise State (MWC #1) vs. Arizona State (Pac-12 #6)

NEW MEXICO UTSA (C-USA) vs. New Mexico (MWC)

Fired or Retained?

Given that we are eight weeks into the college football season, I’ve decided to write an article forecasting what the month of November (and early December) might look like in the coaching industry, summarizing whether coaches on the hot seat at this point seem likely to either be fired or retained at the season’s end.

Steve Addazio, Boston College:  Fired

Addazio has struggled greatly this season, as the Golden Eagles are winless in-conference, and face a difficult schedule at the season’s end. It’s gotten so bad in Chestnhut Hill that fans have created an @FireAddazioBC twitter account! Even though an anonymous board member said to expect that Addazio will last the season, I’m expecting him to be fired before the season’s end, primarily so AD Brad Bates can get started with the inevitable coaching search. Since B.C. is a power conference job, there will be a decent crop of candidates who will have interest in the job. I wouldn’t be surprised if Bates tried to lure back Don Brown for the head job, as the Eagles’ defense has tailed off significantly since he left for Michigan this past December. They could also target Pete Carmichael Jr., an alum who has run the New Orleans Saints’ offense since 2009.

David Bailiff, Rice:  Retained

Bailiff’s Owls have had a brutal season. Rice just got their first win this season against FCS opponent Prairie View A&M, which is pretty embarrassing since its already mid-October. On the upside, Rice has several winnable games left on their schedule, including FAU, Charlotte, and UTEP. Bailiff’s past success does give him a longer leash than some other coaches on the hot seat, so I’m expecting him to return as Rice’s head coach in 2017, likely with a revamped coaching staff.

Ron Caragher, SJSU:  Fired

Caragher has never really been able to get it rolling at San Jose State, as the team has slowly deteriorated since Caragher took over for Mike McIntyre in 2013. This season, the Spartans have suffered some brutal losses, most notably the 42-3 beatdown they just took from SDSU this past week. Their remaining schedule is rather difficult, with an away game against Boise State and a home game against Air Force. I’m expecting Caragher to be fired after one of those two games, so that AD Gene Bleymaier can get a head-start on a coaching search. Give McIntyre’s success at Colorado, I wouldn’t be shocked if they target someone from his coaching tree, perhaps Eagles QB Coach John DeFilippo, Colorado OC Brian Lindgren, or UNLV DC Kent Baer.

Rod Carey, Northern Illinois:  Fired

If this were just about any other scenario, I’d expect Carey to get another season. Yes, NIU has played terribly this year, one game away from being ineligible for a bowl game. But Carey has had a considerable amount of success since he took over from Dave Doeren in 2012. With that said, I’m expecting Carey to be shown the door by AD Sean Frazier, who has been reluctant to provide Carey with the tools he needs to succeed as a head coach. Along with campus and funding issues, Frazier failed to give Carey the sufficient funds to keep ex-DC Jay Niemann and several other coaches who departed last offseason; a viable signal of distrust between Carey & the administration. As such, I’m expecting AD Sean Frazier to hire a new head coach this offseason. The logical candidate here would be P.J. Fleck, an alum who has been very successful this year at Western Michigan, but its possible he’s waiting for a power conference job.

Paul Haynes, Kent State: Fired

Personally, I expected Kent State to hit the replug button after last season, but for some inexplicable reason the administration decided to retain Haynes for another year. To no surprise, the Golden Flashes have played awfully this year, making it all but guaranteed that Haynes will be shown the door sometime in the next month or so. It’s very possible that the administration looks to bring back retreads in Darrell Hazell or Doug Martin, both of whom had some success running the Kent State program.

Mark Helfrich, Oregon:  Retained

Helfrich has done a dreadful job as head coach this year. The Ducks are playing uninspired ball this year, and the staff struggled to settle on a starting quarterback until two weeks ago, giving true freshman Justin Herbert the job. With that said, unless former head man Chip Kelly is canned after one season in San Francisco, I’d be surprised if AD Rob Mullens shows Helfrich the door, given Oregon’s traditionally insular program. There are glimpses of light in Oregon’s defense, such as the gradual adjustment to Brady Hoke’s 4-3 defense, and the decent play at quarterback from Justin Herbert. As such, I’m expecting Helfrich to be retained, but start the 2017 season on the hot seat.

Doc Holliday, Marshall:  Retained

Marshall has played poorly this year, with only one FBS win against Florida Atlantic. However, Holliday has had considerable success in the past, and likely has a longer leash than many of the other coaches on this list. Furthermore, there are several winnable games left on their schedule, most notably Old Dominion and FIU. As such, I’m expecting Holliday to return in 2017, starting the year on the hot seat.

Paul Johnson, Georgia Tech:  Fired

To little surprise, Georgia Tech has underperformed this year, despite having a talented roster led by QB Justin Thomas. The administration recently hired alum Todd Stansbury to lead their athletics department, and I’m expecting him to want to start anew and hire his own head coach. I’m not entirely sure who would be on his shortlist, but he could look to alum and his former teammate Ken Whisenhunt, or possibly an experienced head coach such as Charlie Strong.

Brian Kelly, Notre Dame:  Retained

On Saturday, AD Jack Swarbrick went to bat for his head coach, saying that Kelly won’t be coaching for his job this year. I believe he’s telling the truth, and that Kelly will return as Notre Dame’s head coach in 2017, likely on the hot seat. With that said, I’m expecting Kelly to make some changes to his staff, starting with a new defensive coordinator, perhaps Mike Elko from Wake Forest or Dave Aranda from LSU.

Kliff Kingsbury, Texas Tech:  Retained

This has not been the best season for Kliff Kingsbury at Tech. His team’s offense has been prolific, but his team’s defense has been atrocious, and I can’t see any scenario where DC David Gibbs returns next season. Kliff might very well be pointed for the blame, and rightfully so, but I’m guessing he’ll get one more year to right the ship, similar to dynamic between Dana Holgorsen and West Virginia this past offseason.

Sean Kugler, UTEP:  Fired

Although Kugler lead UTEP to the New Mexico bowl in 2014, he hasn’t been nearly as successful since, as the Miners are currently 2-5 on the year. Given how hard it is to win in El Paso, it’s possible that Kugler returns next year. But I’m expecting AD Bob Stull to part ways with Kugler and bring in a spread-type guy to run the team next year. Stull could look to Oregon QB/PGC David Yost, Montana HC Bob Stitt, and Texas Tech OC Eric Morris to replace Kugler.

Lance Leipold, Buffalo:  Retained

Although Leipold’s tenure at Buffalo has been very uninspiring– the Bulls are currently 1-6 on the year– I’m expecting him to be brought back as head coach next year, mostly because he’s still adjusting to the FBS level from his last job at Wisconsin-Whitewater, where he won a plethora of Division-3 national championships. With that said, I’m expecting him to start the 2017 season firmly on the hot seat, and changes in the program will definitely need to be made this offseason.

Chuck Martin, Miami (OH):  Fired

I’d make an argument that Martin’s tenure in Miami was doomed from the start; regardless, AD David Sayler needs to pull the plug and make a change in the program. The RedHawks are 2-6 on the year, and have four difficult games to end the season. As a result, I’m expecting Miami to lose out and fire Martin at the season’s end. I’m not sure where their coaching search would start, but it might not be the worst idea to see if alum Aaron Kromer would be interested in the top job. His coaching stock is at an all-time low given his battery charge and resultant suspension, and his nightmarish relationship with Jay Cutler when he ran the Bears’ offense.

Doug Martin, NMSU:  Fired

I expected Martin to be fired after last season, but similar to Kent State, New Mexico State’s administration gave Martin one more year to turn things around. To no surprise, the Aggies are 2-5, and are somewhat likely to lose every game from here on out. I’m not sure who AD Mario Moccia would target to replace Martin; he could reunite with Dale Lennon, who he hired nine years back to run Southern Illinois’s football team. He could also look to Frank Spaziani, the former Boston College head coach who returned to coaching this year as NMSU’s defensive coordinator. Other coaches with ties to the NMSU program include Gregg Brandon, Colorado School of Mines’ head coach, and Mike Locksley, currently an offensive analyst at Alabama.

Trent Miles, Georgia State:  Retained

Although Miles has seen limited success over the past two years at Georgia State, I’m expecting administration to retain him for at least the next two seasons. Miles inherited a very difficult job at Georgia State, and his credentials greatly exceed those of just about anyone who might replace him. With that said, expect some changes to be made on Miles’s staff.

Jim Mora, UCLA:  Retained

Mora has greatly underwhelmed this year at UCLA, as the Bruins currently stand at 3-5 despite having one of the best quarterbacks in college football. With that said, I’m expecting Mora to have a very long leash, as he’s been very successful in Westwood notwithstanding this current season.

Charlie Partridge, Florida Atlantic:  Fired

Normally, I would make an argument that Partridge deserves one more year to turn things around at FAU. But the Owls are winless in FBS play, and are generally uncompetitive in just about every game they’ve played. AD Patrick Chun could look to an up-and-coming assistant coach such as Eddie Gran, Luke Fickell, or James Coley; or he could see if his close friend Jim Tressel has any interest in the job.

Paul Petrino, Idaho:  Fired

Idaho is currently in the transition of moving from the FBS to the FCS, which is why I have serious doubts that Paul Petrino wants to be head coach beyond this season. Given the team’s lack of on-field success in recent years, AD Rob Spear might look to part ways with him after this season and bring in someone new to lead the program as they switch conferences. They could turn to Chris Tormey, formerly Wyoming’s head coach, for the head coaching gig, as he was a finalist for the job last time around.

Mark Stoops, Kentucky:  Retained

Although Stoops’s Wildcats started the year off poorly, they’ve rebounded in recent weeks, winning four of the last five games on their schedule. As such, I’m expecting Stoops to return as head coach next season, on the hot seat unless he can pull out a win against Georgia, Tennessee, and/or Louisville to end the season.

Charlie Strong, Texas:  Fired

Strong is basically a dead man walking in Austin. He’s been very unsuccessful since he took over for Mack Brown in 2013, and has never been able to gain the strong support of Longhorn boosters. His defense has been atrocious, resulting him in taking the defensive coordinator responsibilities away from Vance Bedford; even more embarrassingly, the defense hasn’t gotten much better since Strong took over play-calling. Like many others, I’m expecting AD Mike Perrin to solely target Tom Herman for the job, as he holds ties to Texas as a former G.A., and he’s done very well at Houston in past two years.

Mark Whipple, Massachusetts:  Retained

I’m not really sure what the expectations are up in Amherst. To much surprise, they declined to become a full-time member of the Mid-American Conference a year ago in favor of remaining independent, and have since gotten slammed on-field due to a strikingly difficult schedule. My guess is Whipple remains head coach while they figure out the program’s future direction, regardless of how the Minutemen play on-field for the rest of the season.

 

Not on the Hot Seat

Blake Anderson, Arkansas State

Dave Doeren, N.C. State

Clay Helton, USC

Brad Lambert, Charlotte

Gus Malzahn, Auburn

Derek Mason, Vanderbilt

Chad Morris, SMU

Dan Mullen, Mississippi State

Rich Rodriguez, Arizona

Hot Seat to Enter 2016 Season

1. Darrell Hazell, Purdue

Hazell should’ve been canned after last season, but was retained because they wouldn’t have attracted quality candidates because of the other similar job openings. I’ll be surprised if he isn’t fired midseason. Logical candidates to replace Hazell would include: Brock Spack (Illinois State H.C.), Jeff Brohm (Western Kentucky H.C.), and Bo Pelini (former Nebraska H.C.).

2. Doug Martin, New Mexico State

Martin is another one of these listed candidates who probably should’ve been canned after last season. New Mexico State is terrible on both sides of the ball, and yet he was retained because the school wouldn’t be able to attain a good coach. I’m not expecting next season to be any better. Logical candidates to replace Martin include: Gregg Brandon (Colo. School of Mines H.C.), Kerry Locklin (NMSU DL Coach), and Chip Lindsey (Arizona State O.C.).

3. Paul Petrino, Idaho

I’m very surprised that Petrino didn’t optionally leave Idaho for an FBS coordinator job after the news broke that Idaho would move back down to the FCS. Yet, this will likely be Petrino’s last year coaching the Vandals. Logical candidates to replace Petrino include: Bob Stitt, (Montana H.C.), Brian Lindgren (Colorado O.C.), and Mike Breske (Idaho D.C.).

4. Dana Holgorsen, West Virginia

Holgorsen’s seat has been quite warm for the past few years because of mediocre play and questionable character. Shane Lyons is a relatively new athletics director, and there’s a fair chance that he’ll want to reshape the football program after next season. Logical candidates to replace Holgorsen include: Rich Rodriguez (Arizona H.C.), Jeremy Pruitt (Alabama D.C.), and Doug Nussmeier (Florida O.C.).

5. Steve Addazio, Boston College

Even though Addazio started off his tenure at Boston College with some success, things have been trending downward rather quickly. If he has another winless season against conference competition, I’d be surprised if he comes back for 2017. Logical candidates to replace Addazio include: Don Brown (Michigan D.C.), Al Golden (Lions TE Coach), and Nathaniel Hackett (Jaguars QB Coach).

6. Paul Haynes, Kent State

Haynes has completely flopped as Kent State’s head coach, turning around a once-promising program into a sloppy one. If things don’t change fast, I’d expect him to be canned, perhaps in the middle of the season. Logical candidates to replace Haynes include: Darrell Hazell (Purdue H.C.), Jon Heacock (Iowa State D.C.), and Joe Moorhead (Penn State O.C.).

7. Mike MacIntyre, Colorado

Things haven’t been pretty so far during MacIntyre’s tenure in Boulder. Yet, there is some promise that he can get things turned around. Recruiting classes have began to pick up, and he’s doing a decent job of developing high school recruits into formidable college football players. However, if things don’t pick up quickly, he’s likely gone. Logical candidates to replace MacIntyre include: Vance Joseph (Dolphins D.C.), Bob Stitt (Montana H.C.), and Dave Aranda (Louisiana State D.C.).

8. Charlie Strong, Texas

Charlie Strong’s seat has been warm since the day he took the job. Two seasons in and things haven’t progressed much. Similar to MacIntyre, he’s done a decent job of recruiting and developing players, but he’s likely gone if things don’t turn around quickly, especially given the impatience of Texas boosters. Logical candidates to replace Strong include: Tom Herman (Houston H.C.), Bryan Harsin (Boise State H.C.), and Jon Gruden (ESPN Analyst).

9. Les Miles, Louisiana State

Towards the end of last year, there was a public brawl between long-time coach Les Miles and AD Joe Alleva. I’d expect one to be gone sooner or later. The two likely scenarios for LSU are that Miles is either forced out or that he remains with a new athletics director. Logical candidates to replace Miles include: Jimbo Fisher (Florida State H.C.), Rich Rodriguez (Arizona H.C.), and Ed Orgeron (LSU DL Coach).

10. Run Turner, Florida International

Turner was a questionable hire at FIU from day one, and things predictably haven’t gone so well. Yet he also walked into a tough situation because Mario Cristobal’s firing was the most controversial and surprising coaching change I’ve seen in years. But if FIU doesn’t make a bowl game this year, Turner is likely gone. Logical candidates to replace Turner include: Scott Satterfield (Appalachian State H.C.), Geoff Collins (Florida D.C.), and Todd Orlando (Houston D.C.).

11. Paul Johnson, Georgia Tech

Things have taken a turn for the worse in Atlanta, and as a result Paul Johnson’s seat has become very warm. There’s a lot of pressure for change from boosters, and the new A.D. might want to bring in his own guy to run the program. Candidates to replace Johnson include: Ken Niumatalolo (Navy H.C.), John Baxter (USC TE Coach), and Ken Whisenhunt (Chargers O.C.).

12. Kevin Sumlin, Texas A&M

Texas A&M has been scandal-ridden lately, whether it be an assistant tweeting at his recruits or their two quarterbacks transferring out of the program. He likely makes it past this year, but nothing is guaranteed with the high expectations from A&M boosters and fans. Logical candidates to replace Sumlin include: Tom Herman (Houston H.C.), Chad Morris (SMU H.C.), and Larry Fedora (North Carolina H.C.)

 

Next-In-Line:

  1. Mark Stoops, Kentucky
  2. Tim DeRuyter, Fresno State
  3. Derek Mason, Vanderbilt
  4. James Franklin, Penn State
  5. Mike Riley, Nebraska
  6. Chris Creighton, Eastern Michigan
  7. Gus Malzahn, Auburn
  8. Ron Caragher, San Jose State

Honorable Mention:

  • Craig Bohl, Wyoming
  • Clay Helton, Southern Cal
  • Chuck Martin, Miami (OH)
  • Jeff Monkey, Army
  • Charlie Partridge, Florida Intl.

ESPN 100 Recruiting Predictions as of June 15, 2016

1. Trey Smith, OT (Jackson, TN) Ole Miss

2. Isaiah Wilson, OT (Brooklyn, NY) Alabama

5. Robert Beal, DE (Norcross, GA) Georgia

6. Dylan Moses, ATH (Bradenton, FL) LSU

7. Marvin Wilson, DT (Houston, TX) LSU

8. Jeffrey Okudah, S (Grand Prairie, TX) Ohio State

10. Deangelo Gibbs, CB (Loganville, GA) Georgia

12. D. Peoples-Jones, WR (Detroit, MI) Ohio State

15. Joseph Lewis, WR (Los Angeles, CA) USC

20. Phidarian Mathis, DT (Monroe, LA) LSU

22. Kary Vincent, CB (Port Arthur, TX) TCU

23. Tee Higgins, WR (Oak Ridge, TN) Clemson

24. JaCoby Stevens, ATH (Murfreesboro, TN) Georgia

25. Cam Akers, RB (Clinton, MS) Ole Miss

26. Jerry Jeudy, WR (Deerfield Beach, FL) Alabama

27. Foster Sarell, OT (Graham, WA) Stanford

29. James Robinson IV, WR (Lakeland, FL) Florida

30. D.J. Johnson, DE (Sacramento, CA) Ole Miss

31. Baron Browning, OLB (Kennedale, TX) Texas

32. Chase Young, DE (Hyattsville, MD) Maryland

34. Stanford Samuels, CB (Pembroke, FL) Florida State

35. Wyatt Davis, OT (Bellflower, CA) Alabama

36. LaBryan Ray, DT (Madison, AL) Alabama

37. Jamyest Williams, CB (Loganville, GA) Georgia

38. Andrew Thomas, OT (Atlanta, GA) Georgia

39. Darnay Holmes, CB (Calabasas, CA) Nebraska

43. Tedarrell Slaton, OT (Plantation, FL) Michigan

45. Thomas Graham, CB (R. Cucamonga, CA) UCLA

49. Kellen Mond, QB (Bradenton, FL) Auburn

50. Alijah Vera-Tucker, OT (Oakland, CA) USC

51. Trevon Grimes, WR (Fort Lauderdale, FL) Ohio State

52. Greg Rogers, DT (Las Vegas, NV) USC

53. Tony Gray, OT (Loganville, GA) Georgia

54. K’Lavon Chaisson, DE (Houston, TX) Oklahoma

55. Austin Jackson, OT (Phoenix, AZ) USC

57. Grant Delpit, S (Bradenton, FL) LSU

58. Anthony McFarland, RB (Hyattsville, MD) Maryland

61. Aubrey Solomon, DT (Leesburg, GA) Alabama

62. Khalan Laborn, RB (Virginia Beach, VA) Florida State

64. D’Andre Swift, RB (Philadelphia, PA) Georgia

65. Anthony Hines III, LB (Plano, TX) Oklahoma

66. Akial Byers, DT (Fayetteville, AR) Alabama

69. Chevin Calloway, CB (Dallas, TX) Oklahoma

70. Justin Foster, OLB (Shelby, NC) Tennessee

73. Malik Herring, DE (Forsyth, GA) Georgia

74. Daniel Wright, S (Fort Lauderdale, FL) Florida State

77. Tyjon Lindsey, WR (Corona, CA) Ohio State

78. C.J. Avery, S (Grenada, MS) Ole Miss

80. Robert Hainsey, OG (Bradenton, FL) Penn State

84. Austin Troxell, OT (Madison, AL) Alabama

86. Jay Tufele, DT (South Jordan, UT) USC

87. Todd Harris, S (Plaquemine, LA) LSU

89. Cesar Ruiz, C (Bradenton, FL) Michigan

90. Markaviest Bryant, DE (Cordell, GA) Georgia

92. Jeremiah Holloman, WR (Covington, GA) Georgia

93. Markquese Bell, WR (Bridgeton, NJ) Michigan

96. Nathan Proctor, OLB (Indian Head, MD) Maryland

100. Jedrick Wills, OG (Lexington, KY) Kentucky

“The One and Only” MLB Mock Draft 2k16– tune in tonight at 6pm C.T. to watch live

1. Philadelphia Phillies A.J. Puk, LHP (Florida)

2. Cincinnati Reds Nick Senzel, 3B (Tennessee)

3. Atlanta Braves Jason Groome, LHP (Barnegat H.S.)

4. Colorado Rockies Riley Pint, RHP (St. Thomas Aquinas H.S.)

5. Milwaukee Brewers Corey Ray, OF (Louisville)

6. Oakland Athletics Mickey Moniak, OF (Costa Canyon H.S.)

7. Miami Marlins Braxton Garrett, LHP (Florence H.S.)

8. San Diego Padres Matt Manning, RHP (Sheldon H.S.)

9. Detroit Tigers Kyle Lewis, OF (Mercer)

10. Chicago White Sox Dakota Hudson, RHP (Mississippi State)

11. Seattle Mariners Justin Dunn, RHP (Boston College)

12. Boston Red Sox Zack Collins, C (Miami)

13. Tampa Bay Rays Delvin Perez, SS (International Baseball Academy)

14. Cleveland Indians Blake Rutherford, OF (Chaminade College Prep)

15. Minnesota Twins Forrest Whitley, RHP (Alamo Heights H.S.)

16. Los Angeles Angels Alex Kirilloff, OF (Plum H.S.)

17. Houston Astros Zack Burdi, RHP (Louisville)

18. New York Yankees Ian Anderson, RHP (Shenendehowa H.S.)

19. New York Mets Will Craig, 3B (Wake Forest)

20. Los Angeles Dodgers Jordan Sheffield, RHP (Vanderbilt)

21. Toronto Blue Jays Cody Sedlock, RHP (Illinois)

22. Pittsburgh Pirates Nolan Jones, SS (Holy Ghost Prep)

23. St. Louis Cardinals Josh Lowe, 3B (Pope H.S.)

24. San Diego Padres Cal Quantrill, RHP (Stanford)

25. San Diego Padres Will Benson, OF (Westminster School)

26. Chicago White Sox Gavin Lux, SS (Indian Trail Academy)

27. Baltimore Orioles Buddy Reed, OF (Florida)

28. Washington Nationals Drew Mendoza, SS (Lake Minneola H.S.)

29. Washington Nationals Dane Dunning, RHP (Florida)

30. Texas Rangers Taylor Trammell, Mount Paran Christian H.S.)

31. New York Mets Eric Lauer, LHP (Kent State)

32. Los Angeles Dodgers Bryan Reynolds, OF (Vanderbilt)

33. St. Louis Cardinals Matt Thaiss, C (Virginia)

34. St. Louis Cardinals Kevin Gowdy, RHP (Santa Barbara H.S.)

NFL Mock Draft

  1. Los Angeles Rams Jared Goff, QB (California)
  2. Philadelphia Eagles Carson Wentz, QB (N. Dakota State)
  3. San Diego Chargers Jalen Ramsey, S (Florida State)
  4. Dallas Cowboys Joey Bosa, DE (Ohio State)
  5. Jacksonville Jaguars Myles Jack, LB (UCLA)
  6. Baltimore Ravens Laremy Tunsil, OT (Ole Miss)
  7. San Francisco 49ers DeForest Buckner, DE (Oregon)
  8. Cleveland Browns Ezekiel Elliott, RB (Ohio State)
  9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Ronnie Stanley, OT (Notre Dame)
  10. New York Giants Leonard Floyd, OLB (Georgia)
  11. Chicago Bears Shaq Lawson, DE (Clemson)
  12. New Orleans Saints Sheldon Rankins, DT (Louisville)
  13. Miami Dolphins Vernon Hargreaves, CB (Florida)
  14. Oakland Raiders Reggie Ragland, LB (Alabama)
  15. Tennessee Titans Jack Conklin, OT (Michigan State)
  16. Detroit Lions Jarran Reed, DT (Alabama)
  17. Atlanta Falcons Darron Lee, OLB (Ohio State)
  18. Indianapolis Colts William Jackson III, CB (Houston)
  19. Buffalo Bills Paxton Lynch, QB (Memphis)
  20. New York Jets Taylor Decker, OT (Ohio State)
  21. Washington Redskins A’Shawn Robinson, DT (Alabama)
  22. Houston Texans Will Fuller, WR (Notre Dame)
  23. Minnesota Vikings Laquon Treadwell, WR (Ole Miss)
  24. Cincinnati Bengals Corey Coleman, WR (Baylor)
  25. Pittsburgh Steelers Eli Apple, CB (Ohio State)
  26. Seattle Seahawks Jason Spriggs, OT (Indiana)
  27. Green Bay Packers Andrew Billings, DT (Baylor)
  28. Kansas City Chiefs Josh Doctson, WR (Texas Christian)
  29. Arizona Cardinals Ryan Kelly, C (Alabama)
  30. Carolina Panthers Kevin Dodd, DE (Clemson)
  31. Denver Broncos Vernon Butler, DT (Louisiana Tech)
  1. Cleveland Browns Vonn Bell, S (Ohio State)
  2. Tennessee Titans Michael Thomas, WR (Ohio State)
  3. San Diego Chargers Chris Jones, DT (Mississippi State)
  4. Dallas Cowboys Derrick Henry, RB (Alabama)
  5. Baltimore Ravens Kendall Fuller, CB (Virginia Tech)
  6. San Francisco 49ers Connor Cook, QB (Michigan State)
  7. Jacksonville Jaguars Joshua Garnett, OG (Stanford)
  8. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Emmanuel Ogbah, DE (Oklahoma State)
  9. New York Giants Karl Joseph, S (West Virginia)
  10. Chicago Bears Hunter Henry, TE (Arkansas)
  11. Miami Dolphins Germain Ifedi, OT (Texas A&M)
  12. Tennessee Titans Kenny Clark, DT (UCLA)
  13. Oakland Raiders Mackensie Alexander, CB (Clemson)
  14. Tennessee Titans Artie Burns, CB (Miami)
  15. Detroit Lions Shon Coleman, OT (Auburn)
  16. New Orleans Saints Kamalei Correa, OLB (Boise State)
  17. Indianapolis Colts Noah Spence, OLB (Western Kentucky)
  18. Buffalo Bills Robert Nkemdiche, DT (Ole Miss)
  19. Atlanta Falcons Keanu Neal, S (Florida)
  20. New York Jets Christian Westerman, OG (Arizona State)
  21. Houston Texans Nick Vannett, TE (Ohio State)
  22. Washington Redskins Sterling Shepard, WR (Oklahoma)
  23. Minnesota Vikings Su’a Cravens, S (Southern Cal)
  24. Cincinnati Bengals Jonathan Bullard, DE (Florida)
  25. Seattle Seahawks Bronson Kaufusi, DE (Brigham Young)
  26. Green Bay Packers Jaylon Smith, OLB (Notre Dame)
  27. Pittsburgh Steelers Austin Johnson, DT (Penn State)
  28. Kansas City Chiefs Xavien Howard, CB (Baylor)
  29. New England Patriots Kenneth Dixon, RB (Louisiana Tech)
  30. New England Patriots Tyler Boyd, WR (Pittsburgh)
  31. Carolina Panthers Cody Whitehair, OG (Kansas State)
  32. Denver Broncos Christian Hackenberg, QB (Penn State)
  1. Tennessee Titans Jerell Adams, TE (South Carolina)
  2. Cleveland Browns Deion Jones, OLB (Louisiana State)
  3. San Diego Chargers Le’Raven Clark, OT (Texas Tech)
  4. Dallas Cowboys Dak Prescott, QB (Mississippi State)
  5. San Francisco 49ers Braxton Miller, WR (Ohio State)
  6. Jacksonville Jaguars Shilique Calhoun, DE (Michigan State)
  7. Baltimore Ravens Sheldon Day, DT (Notre Dame)
  8. New York Giants Jerald Hawkins, OT (Louisiana State)
  9. Chicago Bears Cyrus Jones, CB (Alabama)
  10. Miami Dolphins Devontae Booker, RB (Utah)
  11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Will Redmond, CB (Mississippi State)
  12. Oakland Raiders C.J. Prosise, RB (Notre Dame)
  13. Tennessee Titans Jordan Jenkins, OLB (Georgia)
  14. Cleveland Browns Cardale Jones, QB (Arizona State)
  15. New Orleans Saints Keivarae Russell, CB (Notre Dame)
  16. Philadelphia Eagles Chris Moore, WR (Cincinnati)
  17. Buffalo Bills Pharoh Cooper, WR (South Carolina)
  18. Atlanta Falcons Austin Hooper, TE (Stanford)
  19. Indianapolis Colts Nick Martin, C (Notre Dame)
  20. New York Jets Kyler Fackrell, OLB (Utah State)
  21. Washington Redskins Darian Thompson, S (Boise State)
  22. Houston Texans Jihad Ward, DE (Illinois)
  23. Minnesota Vikings Vadal Alexander, OG (Louisiana State)
  24. Cincinnati Bengals Javon Hargrave, DT (S. Carolina State)
  25. Green Bay Packers Nick Kwiatkoski, LB (West Virginia)
  26. Pittsburgh Steelers Jeremy Cash, S (Duke)
  27. Seattle Seahawks Paul Perkins, RB (UCLA)
  28. New England Patriots Adam Gotsis, DE (Georgia Tech)
  29. Arizona Cardinals T.J. Green, S (Clemson)
  30. Carolina Panthers Harlan Miller, CB (SE Louisiana)
  31. Denver Broncos Jordan Payton, WR (UCLA)
  32. Detroit Lions Justin Simmons, S (Boston College)
  33. New England Patriots Sean Davis, CB (Maryland)
  34. Seattle Seahawks Joshua Perry, LB (Ohio State)
  35. Denver Broncos Alex Lewis, OT (Nebraska)

Top Remaining Prospects:

Leonte Carroo, WR (Rutgers)

Joe Haeg, OT (N.D. State)

Carl Nassib, DE (Penn State)

Hassan Ridgeway, DT (Texas)

B.J. Goodson, LB (Clemson)

Rashard Robinson, CB (LSU)

Miles Killebrew, S (Southern Utah)

NFL Coaching Hires

NFL Prediction Radar:

(Correct)

Miami Dolphins- Adam Gase, Chicago Bears Offensive Coordinator

New York Giants- Ben McAdoo, Offensive Coordinator

Philadelphia Eagles- Doug Pederson, Kansas City Chiefs Offensive Coordinator

Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Dirk Koetter, Offensive Coordinator

Tennessee Titans- Mike Mularkey, Offensive Coordinator

(Incorrect)

Cleveland Browns- Doug Marrone, Jacksonville Jaguars Offensive Assistant

-> Hired Hue Jackson, Cincinnati Bengals Offensive Coordinator

San Francisco 49ers- Mike Shanahan, former Washington Redskins Head Coach

-> Hired Chip Kelly, former Philadelphia Eagles Head Coach