RECRUITING PREDICTIONS 2017

Analysis

Overall, I’m feeling pretty content with how accurate my predictions were for this year’s final signing period. In terms of what I got right, I think I did a good job with most of the picks. My best call was probably Josh Falo to USC, as most major media outlets thought he would be Oregon bound. I also had Aubrey Solomon to Michigan and Willie Gay to Mississippi State early on, which both ended up being right picks. I felt pretty confident with most of the other ones I got right, similar to other major media outlets. In terms of what I got wrong, I can’t complain too much. It was very surprising when Marvin Wilson picked FSU over LSU, but he did keep things close to the chest so there wasn’t too much I could’ve done there. I underestimated the impact geography had on the recruitments of Deo Lenoir and Anthony McFarland, so I got those calls wrong. I’d argue that Jay Tufele and Levi Jones’s picks came out of nowhere, so I can’t complain about those. I probably could’ve called Bryant to Auburn in hindsight, but it was stunning that Georgia couldn’t keep him in-state. And Chaisson was a 50/50 bet between Texas and LSU and I simply picked the wrong side. In terms of flips, I got every one right that I was 50%+ confident in, and was right saying that anything below 50/50 was unlikely to flip. So overall, I’m pretty content with how my predictions played out.

Outcomes

Chevin Calloway, CB (Dallas, TX) Arkansas

A former Iowa verbal commit, Calloway has strongly been trending towards Arkansas for quite some time. I’m predicting he goes with the Hogs on signing day because of the strong relationship he holds with the coaching staff.

Danny Davis, WR (Springfield, OH) Wisconsin

Davis is going to pick between Wisconsin and Kentucky on signing day. I’m predicting he signs with Wisconsin because they’ve recruited him very hard for the last few months and seem to be gaining all the momentum.

Josh Falo, TE (Sacramento, CA) USC

Falo is going to pick between Oregon and USC on signing day. This is a close one, but I’m predicting he signs with USC because they’ve been recruiting him for a much longer time. Oregon’s chances went down after David Reaves was fired last weekend.

Willie Gay, LB (Starkville, MS) Mississippi State

Although LSU has gained some momentum lately, I’m predicting he signs with the hometown Mississippi State on signing day. He’s got a strong relationship with several players and the coaching staff, and has familiarity with the campus. Michigan is a dark horse here.

Tony Gray, OT (Loganville, GA) Ole Miss

Ole Miss has gained a lot of momentum since his official visit there last weekend, so I’m predicting  he signs with them on signing day. South Carolina and Florida State remain in the conversation, but it would be an upset if he doesn’t end up in blue and red.

Todd Harris, S (Plaquemine, LA) Louisiana State

LSU has long been the top suitor for Harris, which is why I’m predicting he signs with them on signing day. He lives nearby campus, and has a ton of familiarity with the team’s coaches and players. It will be a major upset if he picks any other school.

Devon Hunter, S (Chesapeake, VA) Virginia Tech

Although Hunter still has three official visits left to take, Virginia Tech is his most likely landing spot. The Hokies have been recruiting him for a very long time, and remain the in-state option, so I’m predicting that Coach Fuente manages to land his first big-time recruit as the head coach.

Austin Jackson, OT (Phoenix, AZ) USC

Jackson is going to pick between Arizona State, USC, and Washington on signing day. I’m predicting he signs with USC because they’ve been gaining momentum in his recruitment, and have a tendency to do well on signing day.

Greg Johnson, ATH (Los Angeles, CA) USC

USC and Nebraska are the final two suitors for Johnson. I’m predicting he signs with USC on signing day because they’re his hometown team. They were very smart to get him on campus the weekend before he makes his selection. 

Joseph Lewis, WR (Los Angeles, CA) USC

Given that USC is a major profile program located nearby his hometown, I’m predicting he will sign with them on signing day. Although Nebraska has done a respectable job in his recruitment, it will be an upset if he doesn’t end up in rose and gold. 

Phidarian Mathis, DT (Monroe, LA) Alabama

Mathis’s recruitment is tougher to read, but I’m predicting he signs with Alabama because they’ve gained some late momentum in his recruitment. His playing chances are benefitted by the fact that Alabama just lot a major commit at his position. 

Jarez Parks, DE (Sebastian, FL) Alabama

Parks has been trending towards Alabama for the last few months, so I’m predicting he signs with them on signing day. It was a major win for the Tide that Parks didn’t take an official visit to Florida last weekend. 

LaBryan Ray, DT (Madison, AL) Alabama

Alabama has been the strong favorite to sign Ray throughout his recruitment, so I’m predicting he signs with them on signing day. Given that Alabama just lost another high profile defensive tackle commit, Ray is their sole top target at the position. It will be shocking he signs anywhere else. 

Henry Ruggs III, WR (Montgomery, AL) Alabama

Alabama holds a strong in-state advantage, which is why I’m predicting he signs with them on signing day. Florida State has done a respectable job, making this a closer race than once expected, but I’ll be somewhat surprised if Alabama doesn’t land him.

Tedarrell Slaton, OT (Plantation, FL) Florida

Florida got his final official visit and has been gaining momentum in his recruitment, which is why I’m predicting he signs with them on signing day. Miami (FL) and Georgia have outside chances at landing him, but it would be a surprise if he picks either.

Devonta Smith, WR (Amite, LA) Alabama

Although they don’t have the in-state advantage, I’m predicting he signs with Alabama on signing day. They’ve long been the frontrunners, and I don’t think LSU or Florida State have done enough to close the gap in his recruitment. 

Aubrey Solomon, DT (Leesburg, GA) Michigan

Solomon’s recruitment has been something of a rollercoaster, so I’m not holding out too much confidence with this prediction. With that said, I’m predicting he re-commits and signs with Michigan on signing day because of his relationship with the coaching staff.

Jeff Thomas, WR (East St. Louis, IL) Miami (FL) 

Miami (FL) has emerged as the clear frontrunner for his services over the last month, so I’m predicting he signs with them on signing day. Given how hard they’ve recruited him, it will be a stunner if he signs with anyone else.  

Markaviest Bryant, DE (Cordell, GA) Georgia **picked Auburn**

Bryant has been Georgia’s top target at defensive end for this year’s recruiting class, which is why I’m predicting he goes with Georgia on signing day. Auburn probably closed the gap during his official visit, but it will be surprising if he ends up picking them.

K’Lavon Chaisson, DE (Houston, TX) Texas **picked LSU**

Chaisson is going to pick between Texas and LSU on signing day. This is a close one, but I’m predicting he signs with Texas because he’s more likely to make an early impact there, plus they hold the in-state advantage. 

Levi Jones, LB (Austin, TX) Florida State **picked USC**

Jones took four official visits in January, so there are a lot schools in play to get him on signing day. I’m predicting he signs with Florida State because of his longstanding relationship with the coaching staff, and got his final official visit.

Deommodore Lenoir, CB (Los Angeles, CA) Nebraska **picked Oregon**

Oregon and Nebraska both stand a decent chance at landing Lenoir on signing day, with Mississippi State being a dark horse. I’m predicting he signs with Nebraska on signing day because he has the longest relationship with the coaching staff, and he took his official visit there two weeks ago. 

Anthony McFarland, RB (Hyattsville, MD) Miami (FL) **picked Maryland**

McFarland is down to three schools: Alabama, Maryland, and Miami. While McFarland appears to be comfortable with the in-state Terps, I’m going with Miami (FL) because he has a path to secure the starting job early on, and the Canes’ current commits have been lobbying him hard for months. 

Jay Tufele, DT (South Jordan, UT) Utah **picked USC**

Utah has emerged as the frontrunner for his services over the last month, so I’m predicting that he signs with them on signing day. They hold the in-state advantage, and have been recruiting him for a very long time. Ohio State and USC still have outside shots at landing him. 

Marvin Wilson, DT (Houston TX) Louisiana State **picked Florida State**

Wilson’s recruitment seems to be down to LSU and Florida State. I’m predicting that he signs with LSU because of the strong relationship he has with the head coach, along with the fact that it’s much closer to his hometown.

Possible Flips to Watch For

  • Kai-Leon Herbert, OT from Michigan to Miami (60%)
  • Bruce Judson, WR from USF to Oregon (55%)
  • Jacob Phillips, LB from Oklahoma to LSU (40%)
  • Jamire Cavin, WR from Nebraska to Washington State (55%)
  • Mike Harley, WR from West Virginia to Miami (50%)
  • Neil Farrell, DT from LSU to Florida State (35%)
  • Jamyest Williams, CB from South Carolina to Georgia (30%)
  • D.J. Johnson, DE from Miami to Washington (20%)
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