1. Darrell Hazell, Purdue
Hazell should’ve been canned after last season, but was retained because they wouldn’t have attracted quality candidates because of the other similar job openings. I’ll be surprised if he isn’t fired midseason. Logical candidates to replace Hazell would include: Brock Spack (Illinois State H.C.), Jeff Brohm (Western Kentucky H.C.), and Bo Pelini (former Nebraska H.C.).
2. Doug Martin, New Mexico State
Martin is another one of these listed candidates who probably should’ve been canned after last season. New Mexico State is terrible on both sides of the ball, and yet he was retained because the school wouldn’t be able to attain a good coach. I’m not expecting next season to be any better. Logical candidates to replace Martin include: Gregg Brandon (Colo. School of Mines H.C.), Kerry Locklin (NMSU DL Coach), and Chip Lindsey (Arizona State O.C.).
3. Paul Petrino, Idaho
I’m very surprised that Petrino didn’t optionally leave Idaho for an FBS coordinator job after the news broke that Idaho would move back down to the FCS. Yet, this will likely be Petrino’s last year coaching the Vandals. Logical candidates to replace Petrino include: Bob Stitt, (Montana H.C.), Brian Lindgren (Colorado O.C.), and Mike Breske (Idaho D.C.).
4. Dana Holgorsen, West Virginia
Holgorsen’s seat has been quite warm for the past few years because of mediocre play and questionable character. Shane Lyons is a relatively new athletics director, and there’s a fair chance that he’ll want to reshape the football program after next season. Logical candidates to replace Holgorsen include: Rich Rodriguez (Arizona H.C.), Jeremy Pruitt (Alabama D.C.), and Doug Nussmeier (Florida O.C.).
5. Steve Addazio, Boston College
Even though Addazio started off his tenure at Boston College with some success, things have been trending downward rather quickly. If he has another winless season against conference competition, I’d be surprised if he comes back for 2017. Logical candidates to replace Addazio include: Don Brown (Michigan D.C.), Al Golden (Lions TE Coach), and Nathaniel Hackett (Jaguars QB Coach).
6. Paul Haynes, Kent State
Haynes has completely flopped as Kent State’s head coach, turning around a once-promising program into a sloppy one. If things don’t change fast, I’d expect him to be canned, perhaps in the middle of the season. Logical candidates to replace Haynes include: Darrell Hazell (Purdue H.C.), Jon Heacock (Iowa State D.C.), and Joe Moorhead (Penn State O.C.).
7. Mike MacIntyre, Colorado
Things haven’t been pretty so far during MacIntyre’s tenure in Boulder. Yet, there is some promise that he can get things turned around. Recruiting classes have began to pick up, and he’s doing a decent job of developing high school recruits into formidable college football players. However, if things don’t pick up quickly, he’s likely gone. Logical candidates to replace MacIntyre include: Vance Joseph (Dolphins D.C.), Bob Stitt (Montana H.C.), and Dave Aranda (Louisiana State D.C.).
8. Charlie Strong, Texas
Charlie Strong’s seat has been warm since the day he took the job. Two seasons in and things haven’t progressed much. Similar to MacIntyre, he’s done a decent job of recruiting and developing players, but he’s likely gone if things don’t turn around quickly, especially given the impatience of Texas boosters. Logical candidates to replace Strong include: Tom Herman (Houston H.C.), Bryan Harsin (Boise State H.C.), and Jon Gruden (ESPN Analyst).
9. Les Miles, Louisiana State
Towards the end of last year, there was a public brawl between long-time coach Les Miles and AD Joe Alleva. I’d expect one to be gone sooner or later. The two likely scenarios for LSU are that Miles is either forced out or that he remains with a new athletics director. Logical candidates to replace Miles include: Jimbo Fisher (Florida State H.C.), Rich Rodriguez (Arizona H.C.), and Ed Orgeron (LSU DL Coach).
10. Run Turner, Florida International
Turner was a questionable hire at FIU from day one, and things predictably haven’t gone so well. Yet he also walked into a tough situation because Mario Cristobal’s firing was the most controversial and surprising coaching change I’ve seen in years. But if FIU doesn’t make a bowl game this year, Turner is likely gone. Logical candidates to replace Turner include: Scott Satterfield (Appalachian State H.C.), Geoff Collins (Florida D.C.), and Todd Orlando (Houston D.C.).
11. Paul Johnson, Georgia Tech
Things have taken a turn for the worse in Atlanta, and as a result Paul Johnson’s seat has become very warm. There’s a lot of pressure for change from boosters, and the new A.D. might want to bring in his own guy to run the program. Candidates to replace Johnson include: Ken Niumatalolo (Navy H.C.), John Baxter (USC TE Coach), and Ken Whisenhunt (Chargers O.C.).
12. Kevin Sumlin, Texas A&M
Texas A&M has been scandal-ridden lately, whether it be an assistant tweeting at his recruits or their two quarterbacks transferring out of the program. He likely makes it past this year, but nothing is guaranteed with the high expectations from A&M boosters and fans. Logical candidates to replace Sumlin include: Tom Herman (Houston H.C.), Chad Morris (SMU H.C.), and Larry Fedora (North Carolina H.C.)
- Mark Stoops, Kentucky
- Tim DeRuyter, Fresno State
- Derek Mason, Vanderbilt
- James Franklin, Penn State
- Mike Riley, Nebraska
- Chris Creighton, Eastern Michigan
- Gus Malzahn, Auburn
- Ron Caragher, San Jose State
- Craig Bohl, Wyoming
- Clay Helton, Southern Cal
- Chuck Martin, Miami (OH)
- Jeff Monkey, Army
- Charlie Partridge, Florida Intl.